Chasing a flush on the internet – Sometimes the numbers just do not add up!
There’s an age old debate in poker – ought to you chase a flush? Initial of all we should define what we mean here by "chasing a flush online."
Chasing anything in Texas hold em poker could be the practice of gambling to stay in a hands in the hope that you just will make a greater palm, even despite the fact that you may possibly have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush means gambling that you will acquire the card or card that you just ought to total your flush hands around the turn or river. You can not chase a flush prior to the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.
So let’s say you’re wagering one of the major poker sites on-line, you’ve been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you have paid to see the flop.
The flop is 2s seven-s Kd and one of your competitors comes out gambling strongly with a fair sized raise, what do you do?
Initially of all ask yourself what variety of hand you’re up against. The possibilities are triples, an additional flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you happen to be only winning against the bluff with your Ace. To the other hand should you hit a spade in the last 2 cards you have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.
On the face of it you may well assume that statistically you’ve about a 50-50 possibility of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to come and four suits so there must be about a half probability, proper?
Wrong!
You already have two of the spades in your hand and there is yet another two showing to the table, so you know five cards and 4 of them are spades. That suggests you’ve nine spades left obtainable out of the forty seven cards you have not seen, which is only a 42 per-cent chance of catching your flush.
In case you do bet on the turn and do not generate your flush, what do you do then? You’ve got most likely now become pot-committed, you’ve got put so much into the pot that you might as nicely wager again within the river unless there’s a large raise or all-in against you, except now your odds of creating the flush have dropped dramatically to only twenty one per-cent.
But what of that other factor, the mysterious world wide web poker syndrome? What I imply by which is despite the fact that you statistically have a 42 percent likelihood of creating a flush, is that what truly happens in reality? When you played the very same hands at the very same web-based poker table one hundred times would you obtain a flush forty two occasions? From my personal experience I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a lot much less usually than 42 out of 100 occasions!
That’s just my own opinion and I am positive the poker websites would tell you a different story, but the way I see it’s 42 % is the quite Best you are ever going to have and you might effectively have lots less chance than that of hitting your flush.
Bottom line? Chasing a flush on the net is a very risky method that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you enough of a chance of pulling out the winning hand.